Category Archives: Market Forecast

S&P Is Not GDP

U.S. economic growth has been subpar — right around 2% — during much of the ongoing economic expansion. Yet, the S&P 500 has returned nearly 230% cumulatively since the bear market low on March 9, 2009. How did that happen … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary | Tagged , ,

Corporate Calm

The stock market’s recent gains have gone a long way toward restoring calm in the marketplace. The rebound — 5% off the S&P 500 low on October 15, 2014 — has been driven by a combination of factors, including some … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary

Where Do We Go From Here? Strategies for Moving Forward After a Market Correction

Start the celebration, the market correction of September/October 2014 is officially over. Or is it? Wouldn’t it be great if there were specific dates that could be identified as the beginning and end of downtrends in the stock market? Wouldn’t … Continue reading

Posted in Investment, Jeffrey Karp, Market Forecast, Personal Finance, Retirement Planning | Tagged , , ,

Pullback Perspective

This latest stock market pullback has provided an unwelcome reminder that stocks do not always go up in a straight line. Even within powerful bull markets such as this one, pullbacks of 5 – 10% have been quite common and … Continue reading

Posted in Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary

Earnings Preview: Welcomed Opportunity to Focus on the Micro

The global headlines are certainly not uplifting these days: Russia-Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Hong Kong, Ebola, etc. All of these challenges are sources of investor anxiety that have led to bouts of selling pressure on the U.S. stock market in recent … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, International Economics, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary

Grading on a Curve (the Yield Curve, That Is)

Kids are back in school and have started taking tests. Some of those tests are graded on a curve, meaning that students are graded based on their score relative to the rest of the class. In terms of stock market … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Investment, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary | Tagged , ,

Midterms May Mean More Gains for Stocks

The resolution of election uncertainty — and ending the predominantly negative rhetoric surrounding the campaigns — has historically been a positive for the stock market.

We continue to see opportunities for further stock market gains over the course of 2014, based upon fundamentals rather than the potential for sweeping legislative change. Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Politics, Weekly Commentary

Crystal Ball?

Since the dawn of financial markets, investors have been searching for signals of impending declines. Many economic indicators correlate highly with the stock market, which means they are coincident and not leading, and they tend to move at the same … Continue reading

Posted in Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary

Who Are the Buyers and Sellers?

We devote this commentary each week to assessing the many reasons markets may rise or fall. But at the heart of it, all markets come down to just one thing: buyers and sellers. Taking a look at who is buying … Continue reading

Posted in Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary | Tagged , , , ,

No Debate: Stock and Bond Markets Agree

Stocks have been moving higher lately, seemingly suggesting that growth is improving; yet at the same time bond yields have been moving lower, implying growth prospects are deteriorating. The big debate between which of these two multi-trillion dollar markets is … Continue reading

Posted in Bonds, Karp Financial Strategies Weekly Commentary, Market Forecast, Weekly Commentary